Looks like it's not helping Tubby Smith and the gang, but the Illini are trying to channel a higher power.
Friday, September 29, 2017
Heart and Quit: The Maryland Game Prediction
Advanced stats in football seem to have exploded over the
last couple of years and, to be honest, I don’t really get them. It seems like
the people who put them together are pretty smart and stuff, but I’m not sure the
dynamics of football are as conducive to statistical prediction as, say,
baseball. Yes, things like efficiency and explosiveness are important and I can
understand the desire to measure how many yards a running back gets on his own
versus assistance from the line; but the sample sizes seem remarkably small
given the need to categorize things like down and distance, field position,
personnel groupings, when in the game a play takes place and the score. Yes,
one can control for these things, but you’re left with some pretty thin data
sets on which to make predictions.
Thursday, September 28, 2017
Fanfic: Ten Years of Brewball
I honestly didn’t think I’d stick around this long, but the
decadence is just too much to give up on. Thumping bass from the 2500 speakers
placed around the stadium. New 3’ expansions on the scoreboard every year to
keep it the biggest in the country. Different offensive and defensive
coordinators every year for the past seven seasons. Grass imported from the
Rose Bowl every season. Yeah it’s effing year ten of Brewball.
Top 6 Reasons the Twins Made the Playoffs: You Won't Believe #4!
WE DID IT!
The Twins kinda sorta made the "playoffs" last night;
earning the right to a one game wildcard playoff against the Yankees. Sure,
that always ends in disaster, but anything is possible in one game and these
Twins are plucky. Perhaps the pluckiest
team on the planet.
The Twins managed the most incredible turnaround in solar system
history last night after finishing last season with 103 losses. How did
they do it? Let's take a look at the top 6 reasons:
Oh God NO! The Rose Bowl is a Playoff Game this Season
Look at that. I'm excited about the possibilities and it's not even October.
No, really, stop reading and look at that in its incandescent glory.
My goosebumps get turgid whenever I see that GIF. It's the promised land. A place I've always wanted to go, but won't unless it's to watch my own team play. To go, walk in and see emblazoned on the end zone: Minnesota.
So, here we sit in September and I'm trying to temper my excitement. Do we have a chance this season? Of course, there's always a chance. Look at Iowa in 2015 - they were a good, not great team, that ran the conference table and managed to get in despite losing the B1G championship game. Our schedule this season shakes out to be a bit more difficult than theirs that year, as, during conference play, they managed to avoid the two teams from Michigan.
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
Fan Fic: Year 2 of the Claeys Era
Remembering back to January, 2017, when we thought we had a chance at landing PJ Fleck as our coach, becomes more and more difficult as we enter conference play in Tracy Claeys' second full season as Gophers head coach. The team is undefeated, but the pall of the sexual assault scandal and threatened bowl boycott still hangs over the team. Attendance is down, as a sizable percentage of season ticket holders opted to sit this one out. Some due to the scandal, others due to the belief that the U had once again opted for the less expensive path of mediocrity.
Your author and his cohort chose to not renew because the games just weren't fun anymore. The last home game of the 2017 season, against Northwestern, had the stale, musty feeling of a tomb. That the university made no steps to understand what fans wanted the game day experience didn't help matters; but in all earnest, attending the games wasn't a good time. Our offense had failed to progress and, while the defense remained a strong point, it's hard to get jacked about defensive football when the stadium is 30% vacant and quiet.
Your author and his cohort chose to not renew because the games just weren't fun anymore. The last home game of the 2017 season, against Northwestern, had the stale, musty feeling of a tomb. That the university made no steps to understand what fans wanted the game day experience didn't help matters; but in all earnest, attending the games wasn't a good time. Our offense had failed to progress and, while the defense remained a strong point, it's hard to get jacked about defensive football when the stadium is 30% vacant and quiet.7-0 You Say? What about...wait is this right? Purdue?
So the Gophers are sitting at 3-0 going into conference play
and have a legitimate shot at starting 7-0. Maryland is crap, MSU is beatable,
and with Tubby Smith at the helm, Illinois ain’t beating no one. The wildcard
to going undefeated in the first seven? Purdue. Effing Purdue.
I’m not really sure what to make of them. At times they’ve
looked brilliant on offense and pretty disciplined on defense – not recent
hallmarks of Purdue football. At other times they looked downright ordinary.
They played Michigan pretty tight for three quarters, but the Wolverines weren’t
exactly playing high-quality ball; whether that was due to the Boilers
disrupting their plans or Team Pleated Khakis having a bad day is hard to tell.
I’m more troubled by the fact that I’m worried about Purdue.
It’s Purdue for eff’s sake. What if Purdue beats us and keeps us from the
incandescent glory that is 7-0? Are we okay at 6-1 with the “1” being Purdue?
The couple of games after that, @Iowa and @Michigan are kinda important,
particularly the former. Will our fans have the wherewithal to travel to
Kinnick, tear down and steal the goalposts and duct tape Brian Ferentz to them
right after a loss to Purdue? Pray we never have to find out.
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Why Being a Passionate Fan Effing Matters
It's 3rd down and short, Gophers are on defense, opponents are pinned at their own 15-yard line at the open end of the stadium. Gophers are up by seven late in the 3rd quarter, so getting a stop here would be huge. Me and my crew of three are up and in full throat, near the front of our section in the lower level. It's a huge play, I'm totally amped and I want to enjoy what the stadium looks like when all the fans are hyped to help the defense. I turn around to look at our section.
I see literally one other person standing, my road dog WCJ about 25 rows back.
Pathetic.
/whispers Who Wants an Elite 2019 QB?
Unless you’re a complete recruiting nerd (I used to be
obsessed with it, but decided not to allow my happiness in life to be dictated
by 17-18 year old jocks), you may be unaware there are a couple of big 2019 visits
coming up over the next two home games: Both QBs and both absolute studs.
This weekend, in fact, Hank Bachmeier is coming all the way
up from California to see the Maryland game. Hank is a four-star with a
composite rating of .944 and is oh, the 4th-rated pro-style QB in
the nation. Maybe even the world. In addition to our club, he holds offers from
UCLA, Ole Miss, Colorado, Utah and a few others. Word is he has some
connections to the state of Minnesota, so let’s all pretend that’s super
important to him and feel really good for a bit.
Monday, September 25, 2017
Sawvel Who?
Three posts in one day! Your boy's either got a methamphetamine problem, a lot of extra free time lately or, potentially, both.
I, like many of you, I'm sure, was gnashing the hell out of my teeth and tearing at my collars when Fleck announced Robb Smith as the new defensive coordinator, letting God King of Defense Jay Sawvel loose. Sawvel and Snorlax gave us the best Gopher defenses we'd seen in the better part of a generation and the prevailing belief was that Fleck fucked up massively. He'd bring in his crazy-ass run-pass option offense and we'd score some points; but we'd be back to Year One of Brewball, where we'd score 40 and give up 60 and drink ourselves into a coma every Saturday night. It was a foregone conclusion. All hope was lost.
I, like many of you, I'm sure, was gnashing the hell out of my teeth and tearing at my collars when Fleck announced Robb Smith as the new defensive coordinator, letting God King of Defense Jay Sawvel loose. Sawvel and Snorlax gave us the best Gopher defenses we'd seen in the better part of a generation and the prevailing belief was that Fleck fucked up massively. He'd bring in his crazy-ass run-pass option offense and we'd score some points; but we'd be back to Year One of Brewball, where we'd score 40 and give up 60 and drink ourselves into a coma every Saturday night. It was a foregone conclusion. All hope was lost.
The Most Delicious of them All
Everyone does power polls these days. Some, like Jaundice
Tooth Dienhard over at BTN use nothing more than history and a cursory look at
a box score to set them while others, such as ESPN use FPI (Fapping Projectile
Incident) to ‘mathematically’ determine the quality of the respective teams. It’s
a crowded field and we at Still Got Hope don’t have much interest in swimming
with the sharks. We look for fresh, clean ocean to don the water wings and
float until dehydration from salt water consumption takes our minds and our
lives.
Today, we introduce a poll that, barring new entrants into
the B1G, will probably never change. We know you’ve wondered about this for a
long time and now it is time for the reveal and discussion. Yes, friends, which mascot, given our druthers, would we prefer to consume for dinner tonight. The tastiest mascot
in the conference.
So You're Telling Me There's a Chance!
You ever wonder what the probability of us going undefeated
in conference play, winning the B1GCG, going to the CFB Playoff and winning the
championship is? Well, I hadn’t either until I was desperate for content to keep
up this unprecedented streak of posting, so here we are. I assign a percent
chance of victory to each game and then using MATHS, calculate (probably
incorrectly – it’s been, like 40 years since my last math class) the chance the
Gophers sweep the table and let us all die happy and fulfilled.
1. Maryland: Will probably be facing their 3rd-string
QB and we NEVER have problems against backup QBs. They looked like a solid team
week one, but have since descended into a state of warm, fluid poo. WIN PROBABILITY: 80%
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